Beauty

Who Will Win Best Hair and Makeup at the Oscars 2020? The Past Has Some Clues 

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Joaquin Phoenix’s Golden Globe– and Critics’ Choice–award–winning turn as the infamous villain in Joker definitely is amped up with the impact of his character’s signature clown paint and slime green hair. But both Joker and Maleficent: Mistress of Evil have a trait that could potentially work against them: familiarity. “Angelina Jolie’s Malificent makeup is difficult to do, but people have seen this character before, and there could be bias in that,” Key explains. Finally, there’s 1917, which depicts all the visual cues of wartime, from dirt on faces to brutal battle wounds. But while prosthetic designer Tristan Versluis’s work for the film’s war-carnage scenes in particular is eerily realistic with its use of animal and human-body prosthetics, Key points out that it technically doesn’t count since it’s not a change made to a performer’s body, per the academy’s current rules.

The two genres of this year’s nominees—imperceptible likeness makeup in Bombshell and Judy and more extreme transformation like Joaquin Phoenix’s full face in Joker—have of course been pitted against each other before. Key remembers 1988, when Beetlejuice and Coming to America were each nominated. “Rick Baker did amazing makeup on Eddie Murphy and Arsenio Hall in the barbershop scene—the illusion was so complete and seamless,” explains Key. “I thought it was absolutely genius, but it lost to Beetlejuice, which was much more obvious and over-the-top makeup.”

As history never fails to remind us, the academy has a proclivity for keeping Hollywood guessing. But no matter what happens on the big night, the expansion of the best makeup and hairstyling category alone makes it a momentous year. “The Oscars is the contest,” says Key. “It’s not perfect, but it will always be the high-water mark.”

The Oscars 2020 will be held on Sunday, February 9. Ahead of the ceremony, look back at all the winners for best makeup and hairstyling, below.